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MarketBitcoinAnalysisEthereumAltcoinBinanceVitalik Buterin
Sep 7, 2026
3min read
byRupam Roy
forThe Coin Republic
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin rejected Liron Shapira’s warning that AI could cause a >50% Bitcoin crash within two years, saying the probability of breaking Bitcoin’s core cryptography is tiny and that the network can adapt to threats. Shapira placed a 50% probability on such a crash and others warned AI-driven capital shifts or credit shocks could pressure markets, prompting the Bitcoin Policy Institute and 40+ organizations to request controlled access to advanced AI models to strengthen crypto security and defender capabilities. At the time of writing Bitcoin traded near $79,513.26 (market cap ~$1.60T, 24h volume $22.92B, circulating supply 20,080,918 BTC) and Buterin said about 90% of his net worth is exposed to crypto, underscoring his confidence in adoption and market resilience.
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Key Insights:
- Vitalik Buterin says AI is unlikely to break Bitcoin and sees core cryptographic risk as “tiny.”
- Shapira gives a 50% chance that Bitcoin falls by over 50% within two years due to AI risks.
- Buterin says 90% of his net worth is already exposed to crypto, backing his Bitcoin view.
Vitalik Buterin has rejected Liron Shapira’s warning that artificial intelligence could trigger a major Bitcoin crash within two years.
Liron Shapira placed a 50% probability on Bitcoin losing more than half its value during that period. He linked that forecast to AI systems, possibly weakening security protections investors expect from Bitcoin.
Buterin disagreed. He argued that Bitcoin can respond to most technical threats before they become catastrophic.
The dispute is centered on whether AI could reveal weaknesses faster than Bitcoin developers can respond. Shapira believes that more capable systems may discover attack paths before defenders identify and patch them. Buterin, however, considers the probability of such a breakdown extremely low.
Vitalik Buterin Says Bitcoin Can Adapt to New Threats
Vitalik Buterin said Bitcoin can handle many network problems without requiring broad social agreement. Developers could update software, while mining pools could adjust systems when new attack methods emerge.
Those changes could help the network respond before a vulnerability develops into a wider security problem. For Buterin, that ability lowers the chance that AI alone could cause an immediate Bitcoin crash.
His argument also separates software vulnerabilities from attacks against Bitcoin’s core cryptographic protections. Buterin called the probability of breaking Bitcoin’s hash algorithms or Proof-of-Work system “tiny.”
That assessment shifts the debate toward response speed rather than a sudden collapse of Bitcoin’s underlying cryptography. The central issue, in his view, is how quickly participants could react when a credible threat appears.
Vitalik Buterin then connected that assurance to his own financial exposure. He said about 90% of his net worth is already exposed to crypto. Because of that position, he said he has effectively taken the opposite side of Shapira’s proposed bet.
Bitcoin Crash Concerns Extend Beyond Network Attacks
While Shapira focused on network security, other market figures have raised different AI-related Bitcoin concerns. BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has warned that the high-speed AI growth could pull capital away from crypto.
He also said an AI-driven credit shock could trigger a wider market sell-off. Under that scenario, Hayes said Bitcoin could fall below $60,000.
Peter Schiff has raised another concern about the relationship between AI and Bitcoin. He said both technologies could compete for investment money, electricity, and data-center rees could reduce demand that supported earlier Bitcoin rallies
His concern focuses on capital and infrastructure rather than direct attacks against Bitcoin’s software.
Those different warnings have also pushed AI security questions beyond individual market commentators. Groups focused on open-cess to advanced AI systems
AI Security Debate Reaches Bitcoin Defenders
In August, the Bitcoin Policy Institute and more than 40 organizations contacted leading AI laboratories. They requested controlled access to advanced models for vetted open-tools that sophisticated attackers may also use
Its proposal included computing reh AI laboratory security teams
That request corresponds to the same attacker-versus-defender issue underlying Shapira’s warning. Bitcoin’s public code lets researchers examine vulnerabilities, but attackers can inspect the same software.
The debate comes as Bitcoin traded at $79,513.26 at the time of writing. The cryptocurrency declined by 0.46% over the past 24 hours, while daily trading volume reached $22.92 billion. Market capitalization stood near $1.60 trillion, with 20,080,918 BTC circulating, out of a maximum supply of 21 million.
Source: cryptorank.io