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News
Sep 1, 2026
2min read
byAnjali Belgaumkar
forCoinpedia
With the CLARITY Act vote about two weeks away the market is trading in a pre-clarity mode and prediction markets put XRP at roughly 45% odds to finish the year above $2 and about 21% odds to clear $7, while passage of the bill is priced near 45–50%. Technicals and on-chain signals lean bullish: support at $1.36 is holding, accumulation surged to 90/100, August closed green, September has averaged +12.19% for XRP since 2018, and analysts cite resistance targets at $1.88, $4.11, $5.85 and a longer-term $7.07, suggesting positive token performance and potential crypto adoption upside.
See what traders are focused on
With the CLARITY Act vote roughly two weeks out, one crypto expert says the market is still trading in what he calls “pre-clarity mode,” a calm stretch he expects to give way to daily volatility once lawmakers actually vote.
What the Prediction Markets Are Saying
Checking prediction platform Kalshi, the expertwalked through where traders currently see XRP landing by year-end. Odds that XRP finishes above $2 sit near 45%, meaning close to half the market expects the token to at least double from current levels.
Roughly 21% of traders are betting XRP clears $7 by year-end. He said the trade he finds most interesting sits somewhere above $4.50, a level he admitted “nobody expects” but wouldn’t rule out, adding he wouldn’t be shocked if XRP breaks its all-time high before the year closes. On the CLARITY Act itself, prediction markets currently price passage odds at roughly 45-50%.
Support Holding, Whales Reportedly Returning
XRP longs appear to be gaining confidence as price continues holding the $1.36 support floor, “by the skin of its teeth,” warning that a bigger volatility move looks imminent either way.
There was also a big jump in accumulation signals, reporting the metric surged to 90 out of 100, the highest reading since the recent short-term correction began.
September’s Historical Track Record
Adding a seasonal angle, September has historically been a decent month for XRP, with an average return of +12.19% and five green Septembers against three red ones since 2018, a track record he said tilts the odds bullish heading into the month.
Analyst Dark Defender added that August closed with a bullish green candle and that XRP is now breaking through initial resistance, a pattern he described as signaling a new upward impulse. He laid out a resistance ladder at $1.88, $4.11 and $5.85, with $7.07 marked as a longer-term target if momentum builds.
Source: cryptorank.io