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XRP Price Analysis: Here’s the Most Important Level to Watch
Key Insights:
- XRP price holds near $1.45 as $1.65 remains the key level for a possible Ripple coin breakout.
- Ripple coin traders are watching whale long positions and smart money sentiment across major exchanges.
- XRP price prediction points to $1.65 as the key level, with a rejection possibly sending XRP toward the 333 EMA.
XRP price is holding near $1.45 as traders watch $1.65 for a possible breakout. Whale positioning has improved on some exchanges, but smart money remains cautious, while recent liquidations show that the market still faces pressure. Traders now await a clear signal before the next major market move.
XRP Price Must Break Through $1.65 for Upward Run
The XRP price is now sitting at a level where the next move could become clear. According to market data shared by CW, whale long positions have continued to rise. Binance whales have a long position ratio of 2.18, while the ratio for OKX whales stands at 23.38.
The figures show stronger whale longs, especially on OKX. However, the picture is not fully bullish yet. Smart money sentiment on Binance and Bybit remains bearish, meaning larger market participants are still waiting for a better setup before turning clearly positive.
For the Ripple coin, the $1.65 level remains the main price point to watch. EGRAG Crypto said a weekly full-body close above $1.65 would strengthen the bullish breakout structure. Until that happens, the move is not a confirmed trend change.
The Market Setup Remains Mixed
The price has also been dealing with a neutral futures market. CW noted that the Ripple coin’s net position delta has stayed around the same level since the weekend. The short squeeze has ended, while whales appear to have taken a short break.
This has left the market in a neutral state. The next signal traders are watching is a rise in both open interest and net position delta at the same time. If both measures increase together, it could show that fresh positions and buying pressure are entering the market.
That would matter because a rise supported by actual buying could be stronger than one caused mainly by traders closing short positions. The market needs more than a short squeeze for a lasting uptrend.
Recent liquidations add another warning. BankXRP reported that $38.6 million in XRP long positions were liquidated on August 22, the largest daily XRP long liquidation figure since October 2025. Binance accounted for $12.63 million of those long liquidations, compared with $1.4 million in short liquidations.
XRP Price Could Retest Lower Levels Before A Breakout
The price is also being watched against a wider chart structure. EGRAG Crypto said the $1.65 level remains the key confirmation point. If the Ripple coin fails to break and hold above it, the price could continue moving along the falling structure.
Under that setup, a retest of the 333 EMA could come before another attempt to move higher. EGRAG also pointed to the $1.05, $0.95, and $0.85 area as a possible macro bottoming zone.
The chart setup is being shaped by the 50 EMA and 333 EMA. The 50 EMA is moving down, while the 333 EMA is moving up, leaving XRP caught between the two. Their convergence could become an important turning point for the Ripple coin.
For the XRP price prediction, the near-term path is therefore tied closely to $1.65. A weekly close above that level would give bulls a stronger case. A rejection could instead send XRP back toward the 333 EMA and lower support levels before another move higher.
At the same time, whale positioning needs to be watched alongside smart money sentiment. Binance and OKX show stronger whale long positioning, but Bybit whale positioning is near neutral at 0.98, while smart money remains bearish. That leaves the market waiting for clearer buying pressure before a stronger uptrend can be confirmed. That could matter if buyers return with strength.
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