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Based on SoSoValue data, spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States recorded a net inflow of around US$3.8 billion during three consecutive trading weeks in the period from August 17 to September 4, 2026. Meanwhile, the total net assets of spot Bitcoin ETFs are in the range of US$101.3 billion. The inflow shows that institutional interest in Bitcoin is still maintained amid volatile price movements
The momentum occurred when the price of Bitcoin had fallen from around US$81,200 to below US$79,000. Based on CoinGecko data on Tuesday, September 8, Bitcoin is moving in the range of around US$78,200-US$79,600. This condition shows that short-term price corrections take place simultaneously with the flow of funds still entering the spot Bitcoin ETF.
Chief Marketing Officer of INDODAX, Aloysia Dian, assessed the consistency of the inflow of ETFs as one of the indicators that can be used to see the dynamics of Bitcoin demand.
“What is interesting is not only the magnitude of the inflow, but its consistency when the price of Bitcoin is under pressure. This shows that short-term price movements and fund flows to ETFs do not always move in the same direction, and it is necessary to look at Bitcoin in a longer horizon, instead of reacting to daily movements,” he said.
Market Awaits Inflation Data and Fed Decision
In the midst of the strong flow of ETF funds, the market’s next attention is on a series of US economic data that will be a reference before the Fed’s decision. The Producer Price Index (PPI) is scheduled to be released on September 10, followed by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on September 11. After that, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on September 15-16, 2026, which is considered to be one of the main catalysts.
Based on current market expectations, the probability of a 25 basis point (bps) interest rate hike reaches 58.4 percent, while the probability of the interest rate remaining at 41.6 percent. These expectations are also influenced by August’s labor data which showed an increase of 162,000 jobs with an unemployment rate of 4.1 percent. However, the direction of market expectations can still change, as inflation data is released before the FOMC meeting.
Aloysia menilai bahwa rangkaian data tersebut penting untuk dilihat sebagai bagian dari gambaran makro yang lebih luas, bukan sebagai penentu tunggal arah pasar.
“ETF fund flows provide an overview of institutional demand, while PPI, CPI, and the Fed’s decisions will determine how the market reads the next macroeconomic conditions. However, investors still need to look at all of these indicators in a comprehensive manner, conduct independent research (DYOR), and not make one data the only basis for decision-making,” he added.
As Indonesia’s top crypto exchange, INDODAX continues to encourage the public to understand the influence of macroeconomic conditions and institutional funds on the crypto market. Education on these factors is available through INDODAX Academy, while encouraging investors to conduct independent research and consider their risk profile before trading.
The English, Chinese, Japanese, Arabic, and French versions are automatically generated by the AI. So there may still be inaccuracies in translating, please always see Indonesian as our main language.
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