Bitcoin Price Prediction for October 2026

• BTC-USD

Quick Read

• Bitcoin surged 44% over 90 days but remains 34% below its all-time high and is still down for 2026.

• With a 64% probability of another Fed rate hike and the 10-year Treasury yielding 5.17%, bonds now rival Bitcoin for investor capital.

• Bitcoin ETF daily inflows collapsed from nearly $1 billion to $134 million in days, signaling fading momentum heading into October.

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As October 2026 approaches, Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) is trading at approximately $83,070. The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting on October 27-28 could play a crucial role in determining if Bitcoin continues its summer rally or starts to pull back. This meeting is key to any Bitcoin price prediction this month, especially in light of rising oil prices, currently above $100 a barrel, and slowing inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Over the past 90 days, Bitcoin has surged 43.8%, yet it remains down 25.0% year over year. The big question is: Can Bitcoin maintain its momentum in October while the Fed considers raising interest rates yet again?

Bitcoin’s 44% Summer Rally Still Leaves It 34% Below Its Record

Bitcoin has recovered significantly, climbing about 30.0% in the last 60 days and 43.8% over the past 90 days. It has risen from about $57,800 in early July, inviting more buyers back into the market.

Despite this rebound, Bitcoin remains 34.1% below its all-time high of $126,080 recorded on October 6, 2025, and is down 3.8% for the year. The recent rally has healed much of the damage but hasn’t erased the losses, leaving many long-term investors with a 25.0% loss.

The Fed’s October 27-28 Meeting Could Set Bitcoin’s Direction

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On September 16, the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate to a range of 3.75% to 4%—its first increase since 2023—in a unanimous decision. The Federal Open Market Committee is set to meet again on October 27-28. According to CME FedWatch, there’s a 64% probability of another quarter-point hike.

Source: finance.yahoo.com