Why is XRP
price going down today? XRP has declined for four consecutive
sessions, losing approximately 8% from recent highs to reach intraday
lows of $3.11 on Tuesday, August 12, 2025. Currently trading at $3.1422,
XRP faces mounting profit-taking pressure following its impressive
rally after the Ripple-SEC legal settlement.
The primary
catalyst behind today’s decline stems from natural profit-taking
activities after XRP’s spectacular 208% volume surge to $12.4
billion following
regulatory clarity. Trading volumes remain elevated at $9.16 billion,
indicating continued institutional interest despite the pullback.
In this
article, I examine why the XRP price is falling, conducting in-depth technical
analysis of the XRP/USDT daily chart and summarize the newest XRP price
prediction for 2025 and beyond.
At the time
of writing, XRP is trading at 3.1422, up 0.5% since the start of the session.
The intraday low stands at 3.1178. On the daily chart, four consecutive bearish
candles have largely retraced the nearly 11% rally seen on August 7, 2025. The
current strong buying reaction has simply led to profit-taking.
What is the XRP price today? Source: CoinMarketCap.com
XRP’s
decline aligns with broader cryptocurrency market weakness. Bitcoin failed
to maintain momentum above key levels, while Dogecoin dropped over 5% and Ethereum
struggled below $4,300. This risk-off sentiment has pressured
altcoins including XRP.
XRP Technical Analysis:
Support Holds But Resistance Builds
XRP’s
technical structure reveals critical support at $3.13 after multiple
successful tests, while resistance builds at $3.27-$3.31. The token
experienced its heaviest selling pressure during the 19:00 hour yesterday,
dropping from $3.20 to $3.15 on 73.87 million volume.
Key Technical Levels:
Strong Support: $3.13-$3.15 (multiple
volume-backed tests)Immediate Resistance: $3.27 (repeated
rejection zone)Critical
Resistance: $3.31 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement)Next Downward Target: Round level at $3.00
(38.2% Fibonacci)
My
comprehensive technical analysis indicates XRP’s bearish pin bar formation on
Monday’s session created a potential sell signal below the important $3.31
resistance and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. If price
approaches this resistance zone again, it would present an opportunity for
sellers targeting the $3.00 psychological level.
Additional
support levels include the 50 Exponential Moving Average at $2.89,
followed by the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $2.78 near August lows
around $2.66. The golden ratio 61.8% Fibonacci level sits at
approximately $2.40, coinciding with the 200 Exponential Moving
Average at $2.28.
XRP price technical analysis. Source: Tradingview.com
A break
below these levels would signal bearish control, potentially driving XRP
toward $2.00 or lower to $1.90 where June 22nd session
minimums reside. Conversely, a sustained break above $3.30-$3.31 would
invalidate the bearish setup, targeting consolidation between $3.60-$3.66.
XRP Support and Resistance Levels
Level Type
Price Level
Technical Significance
Probability
Immediate Support
$3.13
Multiple volume-backed tests
High
Strong Support
$3.15
Current
floor with bid support
Very High
Key Support
$3.00
Psychological round number + 38.2% Fibo
Medium-High
Critical Support (50 EMA)
$2.89
50 Exponential Moving Average
Medium
Major Support (50% Fibo)
$2.78
50% Fibonacci retracement
Medium
August Lows Support
$2.66
Previous August session lows
Low-Medium
Golden Ratio (61.8% Fibo)
$2.40
Golden ratio Fibonacci level
Low
Long-term Support (200 EMA)
$2.28
200 EMA + 78.6% Fibonacci
Very Low
June Minimums Support
$1.90
June 22nd session minimums
Very Low
Immediate Resistance
$3.27
Repeated rejection zone
High
Key Resistance (23.6% Fibo)
$3.31
23.6% Fibo retracement + pin bar
Very High
Consolidation Resistance
$3.60-$3.66
Mid-July consolidation range
Medium
Historical High Resistance
$3.84
Previous
all-time high from 2018
Low
Why XRP Price Is Falling? Market
Factors Behind XRP’s Decline
Ripple’s
Monthly Token Release – The routine monthly release of 1 billion XRP tokens worth $3.28
billion from escrow on August 1st triggered market uncertainty and
selling fears. Despite Ripple CTO David Schwartz’s clarification as routine
monthly activity, the timing coincided with XRP’s rally slowdown.Profit-Taking
After Legal Victory – Following
the formal end of Ripple’s nearly five-year SEC legal battle,
XRP experienced double-digit gains before encountering natural
profit-taking. Large holders appear to be rebalancing positions while
maintaining bids at $3.13-$3.15.ETF
Speculation Cooling – BlackRock’s denial of XRP ETF plans has tempered some bullish
sentiment, though multiple XRP ETF applications remain under SEC
review with an 85% approval probability for 2025.Derivatives
Data Shows Selling Pressure – XRP derivatives markets reflect bearish sentiment with declining
open interest dropping 36% to $3.54 billion and negative
funding rates indicating short positioning. However, whale
accumulation continues with addresses holding 100 million to 1
billion XRP adding 900 million tokens worth $2.88 billion in
just 48 hours.
You may
also like: XRP
Eyes $3.50; Ripple-SEC Five Year Legal Dispute Officially Concludes
Expert XRP Price Predictions:
Divided Sentiment
Despite
today’s decline, expert opinions remain largely bullish for XRP’s
medium-term prospects. Here’s what leading analysts predict:
Expert/Source
Prediction
Target Price
Timeframe
Sentiment
Tony
“The Bull” Severino
333% surge within 40 days
$13.00
40 days
Very Bullish
Peter Brandt
60%
rally to $4.47
$4.47
Coming months
Bullish
Changelly
$2.43 average Dec 2025
$2.43
Dec 2025
Neutral
Digital Coin Price
$3.51 average 2025
$3.51
2025 average
Bullish
GOV Capital
$4.78 in one year
$4.78
1 year
Bullish
Fibonacci Extension Analysis
$5.53
ultimate 2025 target
$5.53
2025
Bullish
Conservative Models
$3.12 by Aug 31, 2025
$3.12
Aug 31, 2025
Conservative
Tony
“The Bull” Severino forecasts a 333% surge within 40 days,
while Peter Brandt predicts a 60% rally to $4.47 based on
technical patterns. More conservative machine learning models project
XRP reaching $3.12 by August 31, 2025.
Fibonacci
extension analysis suggests $5.53 as the ultimate 2025 target,
representing over 80% appreciation from current levels. Ripple
CEO Brad Garlinghouse has made the most ambitious prediction of $178
by 2030, though this represents an extreme bull case scenario.
Back in
April, Standard Chartered analysts predicted
a fivefold increase in XRP’s price, ultimately reaching $12.50 within the next
three years. For this year, they expect the price to climb to $5.50.
Market
veteran Ali Martinez identified XRP breaking above a key resistance channel it
had traded within for months. He noted: “XRP has successfully broken above
an extensive resistance channel… now eyeing a double-digit target.”
What Traders Should Watch
Key
monitoring points for XRP include:
$3.13 support stability on
further profit-taking wavesBreakout potential above $3.27 to
resume upward momentumPersistence of institutional
inflows post-regulatory settlement Macro spillover effects from
trade and monetary policy developmentsVolume patterns during
resistance tests at $3.30-$3.31
Temporary Pullback in
Bullish Structure
Why is XRP
price going down today? The decline reflects natural profit-taking after
XRP’s post-settlement rally, combined with broader crypto market weakness and routine
token releases. Technical analysis shows strong support at $3.13 with
potential for deeper correction toward $3.00 if selling pressure
intensifies.
However, expert
sentiment remains predominantly bullish with targets ranging from $3.12
to $13.00 across various timeframes. The regulatory overhang removal and growing
institutional interest provide fundamental support for XRP’s longer-term
trajectory.
XRP Price FAQ
Why Is XRP in Trouble?
XRP is not
currently in serious trouble. The primary concern stemmed from the SEC
lawsuit filed in December 2020, which alleged that Ripple sold $1.3
billion worth of unregistered securities. However, this legal uncertainty has
been largely resolved as of August 2025.
Is XRP Worth Buying Now?
Yes, however,
XRP presents a mixed risk-reward opportunity at current levels
around $3.14. The regulatory clarity achieved through the SEC
settlement provides a strong fundamental foundation, while multiple
XRP ETF applications have an estimated 85% approval probability for
2025.
Investment
suitability depends on your risk tolerance and time horizon.
Conservative investors might wait for deeper pullbacks toward $3.00 support,
while those bullish on crypto adoption may find current levels reasonable
for medium-term positions.
How High Will XRP Go in
2025?
Expert
predictions for XRP in 2025 vary significantly, ranging from $3.12 to
$13.00 depending on market conditions and adoption rates. Conservative
forecasts suggest XRP reaching $3.12 by August 31, 2025, while mainstream
predictions target $4.00-$5.50 by year-end. Machine
learning models project an average December 2025 price of $2.43,
though this appears conservative given recent developments.
Could XRP Reach $100?
Yes, XRP
reaching $100 is theoretically possible but faces significant practical
challenges. At $100 per XRP, the market capitalization would exceed $5
trillion with current supply levels, larger than Apple and Microsoft
combined.
$100 XRP
requires unprecedented cryptocurrency market growth to $5+ trillion
valuation. This implies either massive supply reduction through
institutional locking or fundamental transformation of global
financial systems.
Why is XRP
price going down today? XRP has declined for four consecutive
sessions, losing approximately 8% from recent highs to reach intraday
lows of $3.11 on Tuesday, August 12, 2025. Currently trading at $3.1422,
XRP faces mounting profit-taking pressure following its impressive
rally after the Ripple-SEC legal settlement.
The primary
catalyst behind today’s decline stems from natural profit-taking
activities after XRP’s spectacular 208% volume surge to $12.4
billion following
regulatory clarity. Trading volumes remain elevated at $9.16 billion,
indicating continued institutional interest despite the pullback.
In this
article, I examine why the XRP price is falling, conducting in-depth technical
analysis of the XRP/USDT daily chart and summarize the newest XRP price
prediction for 2025 and beyond.
At the time
of writing, XRP is trading at 3.1422, up 0.5% since the start of the session.
The intraday low stands at 3.1178. On the daily chart, four consecutive bearish
candles have largely retraced the nearly 11% rally seen on August 7, 2025. The
current strong buying reaction has simply led to profit-taking.
What is the XRP price today? Source: CoinMarketCap.com
XRP’s
decline aligns with broader cryptocurrency market weakness. Bitcoin failed
to maintain momentum above key levels, while Dogecoin dropped over 5% and Ethereum
struggled below $4,300. This risk-off sentiment has pressured
altcoins including XRP.
XRP Technical Analysis:
Support Holds But Resistance Builds
XRP’s
technical structure reveals critical support at $3.13 after multiple
successful tests, while resistance builds at $3.27-$3.31. The token
experienced its heaviest selling pressure during the 19:00 hour yesterday,
dropping from $3.20 to $3.15 on 73.87 million volume.
Key Technical Levels:
Strong Support: $3.13-$3.15 (multiple
volume-backed tests)Immediate Resistance: $3.27 (repeated
rejection zone)Critical
Resistance: $3.31 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement)Next Downward Target: Round level at $3.00
(38.2% Fibonacci)
My
comprehensive technical analysis indicates XRP’s bearish pin bar formation on
Monday’s session created a potential sell signal below the important $3.31
resistance and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. If price
approaches this resistance zone again, it would present an opportunity for
sellers targeting the $3.00 psychological level.
Additional
support levels include the 50 Exponential Moving Average at $2.89,
followed by the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $2.78 near August lows
around $2.66. The golden ratio 61.8% Fibonacci level sits at
approximately $2.40, coinciding with the 200 Exponential Moving
Average at $2.28.
XRP price technical analysis. Source: Tradingview.com
A break
below these levels would signal bearish control, potentially driving XRP
toward $2.00 or lower to $1.90 where June 22nd session
minimums reside. Conversely, a sustained break above $3.30-$3.31 would
invalidate the bearish setup, targeting consolidation between $3.60-$3.66.
XRP Support and Resistance Levels
Level Type
Price Level
Technical Significance
Probability
Immediate Support
$3.13
Multiple volume-backed tests
High
Strong Support
$3.15
Current
floor with bid support
Very High
Key Support
$3.00
Psychological round number + 38.2% Fibo
Medium-High
Critical Support (50 EMA)
$2.89
50 Exponential Moving Average
Medium
Major Support (50% Fibo)
$2.78
50% Fibonacci retracement
Medium
August Lows Support
$2.66
Previous August session lows
Low-Medium
Golden Ratio (61.8% Fibo)
$2.40
Golden ratio Fibonacci level
Low
Long-term Support (200 EMA)
$2.28
200 EMA + 78.6% Fibonacci
Very Low
June Minimums Support
$1.90
June 22nd session minimums
Very Low
Immediate Resistance
$3.27
Repeated rejection zone
High
Key Resistance (23.6% Fibo)
$3.31
23.6% Fibo retracement + pin bar
Very High
Consolidation Resistance
$3.60-$3.66
Mid-July consolidation range
Medium
Historical High Resistance
$3.84
Previous
all-time high from 2018
Low
Why XRP Price Is Falling? Market
Factors Behind XRP’s Decline
Ripple’s
Monthly Token Release – The routine monthly release of 1 billion XRP tokens worth $3.28
billion from escrow on August 1st triggered market uncertainty and
selling fears. Despite Ripple CTO David Schwartz’s clarification as routine
monthly activity, the timing coincided with XRP’s rally slowdown.Profit-Taking
After Legal Victory – Following
the formal end of Ripple’s nearly five-year SEC legal battle,
XRP experienced double-digit gains before encountering natural
profit-taking. Large holders appear to be rebalancing positions while
maintaining bids at $3.13-$3.15.ETF
Speculation Cooling – BlackRock’s denial of XRP ETF plans has tempered some bullish
sentiment, though multiple XRP ETF applications remain under SEC
review with an 85% approval probability for 2025.Derivatives
Data Shows Selling Pressure – XRP derivatives markets reflect bearish sentiment with declining
open interest dropping 36% to $3.54 billion and negative
funding rates indicating short positioning. However, whale
accumulation continues with addresses holding 100 million to 1
billion XRP adding 900 million tokens worth $2.88 billion in
just 48 hours.
You may
also like: XRP
Eyes $3.50; Ripple-SEC Five Year Legal Dispute Officially Concludes
Expert XRP Price Predictions:
Divided Sentiment
Despite
today’s decline, expert opinions remain largely bullish for XRP’s
medium-term prospects. Here’s what leading analysts predict:
Expert/Source
Prediction
Target Price
Timeframe
Sentiment
Tony
“The Bull” Severino
333% surge within 40 days
$13.00
40 days
Very Bullish
Peter Brandt
60%
rally to $4.47
$4.47
Coming months
Bullish
Changelly
$2.43 average Dec 2025
$2.43
Dec 2025
Neutral
Digital Coin Price
$3.51 average 2025
$3.51
2025 average
Bullish
GOV Capital
$4.78 in one year
$4.78
1 year
Bullish
Fibonacci Extension Analysis
$5.53
ultimate 2025 target
$5.53
2025
Bullish
Conservative Models
$3.12 by Aug 31, 2025
$3.12
Aug 31, 2025
Conservative
Tony
“The Bull” Severino forecasts a 333% surge within 40 days,
while Peter Brandt predicts a 60% rally to $4.47 based on
technical patterns. More conservative machine learning models project
XRP reaching $3.12 by August 31, 2025.
Fibonacci
extension analysis suggests $5.53 as the ultimate 2025 target,
representing over 80% appreciation from current levels. Ripple
CEO Brad Garlinghouse has made the most ambitious prediction of $178
by 2030, though this represents an extreme bull case scenario.
Back in
April, Standard Chartered analysts predicted
a fivefold increase in XRP’s price, ultimately reaching $12.50 within the next
three years. For this year, they expect the price to climb to $5.50.
Market
veteran Ali Martinez identified XRP breaking above a key resistance channel it
had traded within for months. He noted: “XRP has successfully broken above
an extensive resistance channel… now eyeing a double-digit target.”
What Traders Should Watch
Key
monitoring points for XRP include:
$3.13 support stability on
further profit-taking wavesBreakout potential above $3.27 to
resume upward momentumPersistence of institutional
inflows post-regulatory settlement Macro spillover effects from
trade and monetary policy developmentsVolume patterns during
resistance tests at $3.30-$3.31
Temporary Pullback in
Bullish Structure
Why is XRP
price going down today? The decline reflects natural profit-taking after
XRP’s post-settlement rally, combined with broader crypto market weakness and routine
token releases. Technical analysis shows strong support at $3.13 with
potential for deeper correction toward $3.00 if selling pressure
intensifies.
However, expert
sentiment remains predominantly bullish with targets ranging from $3.12
to $13.00 across various timeframes. The regulatory overhang removal and growing
institutional interest provide fundamental support for XRP’s longer-term
trajectory.
XRP Price FAQ
Why Is XRP in Trouble?
XRP is not
currently in serious trouble. The primary concern stemmed from the SEC
lawsuit filed in December 2020, which alleged that Ripple sold $1.3
billion worth of unregistered securities. However, this legal uncertainty has
been largely resolved as of August 2025.
Is XRP Worth Buying Now?
Yes, however,
XRP presents a mixed risk-reward opportunity at current levels
around $3.14. The regulatory clarity achieved through the SEC
settlement provides a strong fundamental foundation, while multiple
XRP ETF applications have an estimated 85% approval probability for
2025.
Investment
suitability depends on your risk tolerance and time horizon.
Conservative investors might wait for deeper pullbacks toward $3.00 support,
while those bullish on crypto adoption may find current levels reasonable
for medium-term positions.
How High Will XRP Go in
2025?
Expert
predictions for XRP in 2025 vary significantly, ranging from $3.12 to
$13.00 depending on market conditions and adoption rates. Conservative
forecasts suggest XRP reaching $3.12 by August 31, 2025, while mainstream
predictions target $4.00-$5.50 by year-end. Machine
learning models project an average December 2025 price of $2.43,
though this appears conservative given recent developments.
Could XRP Reach $100?
Yes, XRP
reaching $100 is theoretically possible but faces significant practical
challenges. At $100 per XRP, the market capitalization would exceed $5
trillion with current supply levels, larger than Apple and Microsoft
combined.
$100 XRP
requires unprecedented cryptocurrency market growth to $5+ trillion
valuation. This implies either massive supply reduction through
institutional locking or fundamental transformation of global
financial systems.
