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We Asked Grok Whether XRP or Solana Reaches a New All-Time High First
XRP and Solana both sit well below their record highs with real catalysts in play, so we put the question to Grok and its answer comes with a tension that cuts both ways.
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XRP (CRYPTO:XRP) and Solana (CRYPTO:SOL) are both trading well below their record highs, and both have genuine catalysts working in their favor heading into the rest of 2026. Rather than picking a side ourselves, we asked Grok which of the two reaches a new all-time high first?
We examine Grok’s pick, the math behind how far each token actually needs to climb, and whether the current market setup for ETF flows, regulation, and network activity backs up the reasoning Grok gave for its choice.
Which Coin Does Grok Think Reaches Its ATH First?
Grok picked Solana (SOL) as the most likely coin to reach a new all-time high first. XRP currently trades near $1.35, with a market cap of about $85 billion, and Solana’s price trades around $99 to $100, with a market cap of about $58 billion.
XRP’s recent all-time high was roughly $3.84, set in 2018, while Solana’s all-time high was about $293 to $295, set in January 2025. XRP is about 63% below its recent high, meaning it would need to rise roughly 2.7 times its current price to reclaim it.
Solana is about 66% below its high, meaning it would need to rise nearly 3 times its current price. Grok called the two multiples similar, then based its pick on which coin it believes has the better structural setup to close that gap.
Why Does Grok Favor Solana?
Grok gave three reasons for the pick, tied to capital efficiency, fundamentals, and the number of catalysts that do not depend on a single outcome.
The Price Gap to a New ATH
Grok’s argument for Solana rests on capital efficiency. At a $58 billion market cap versus XRP’s $85 billion, Solana needs less absolute dollar inflow to produce the same percentage price gain.
Grok also pointed to Solana’s history as a high-beta layer-1 token, arguing it tends to show amplified upside once Bitcoin stabilizes or rallies, which would let it close its gap faster in dollar terms even though the multiple required is larger.
ETF Demand
Grok cited Solana’s ETF inflows as a sign of sustained institutional interest, putting cumulative inflows at $1.3 billion, perSoSoValue, since the funds launched in late 2025, with periods of consistent daily inflows.
Grok also referenced Standard Chartered’s base-case estimate of about $250 for Solana by the end of 2026, a level that would already sit near or above its prior all-time high under constructive conditions. Grok tied that flow data to Solana’s on-chain usage, including DEX volume and user activity, framing it as demand grounded in product use,
Regulatory and Network Catalysts
Grok’s strongest point for Solana was the number of catalysts that do not run through one decision. ETF flows, staking activity, network upgrades, and adoption in high-throughput use cases can each move Solana’s price independently, so a setback in any single area does not remove the others.
Grok contrasted that directly with tokens whose outlook rests mainly on a single regulatory outcome, an implicit nod to XRP’s dependence on theCLARITY Actclearing Congress.
Can Grok’s Pick Reach a New ATH First?
Grok’s own math complicates its pick, especially with XRP needing a 2.7x move to reclaim its high while Solana needs nearly 3x. On percentage terms, XRP also has the shorter recovery to beat its previous ATH.
XRP has also traded with support from spot ETF inflows that have held up even as demand for other altcoin ETFs pulled back sharply in early September, and it still carries a pending catalyst in the CLARITY Act’s September 15 Senate cloture vote, a single event that could reprice XRP quickly if it passes.
Grok’s reasoning is coherent, but we would lean toward XRP having a better chance at a new high first, because XRP needs a smaller move and has a specific, dated catalyst that Solana does not.
However, Grok’s case for Solana holds up if Bitcoin rallies broadly and capital rotates into higher-beta layer-1 tokens the way it has in past cycles. It doesn’t hold up if that rotation does not happen and XRP’s regulatory catalyst arrives on schedule instead.
Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.
Sam Daodu is a crypto analyst who’s spent nearly a decade making blockchain understandable—no easy task when most whitepapers read like fever dreams. He writes for 24/7 Wall St., covering Bitcoin, altcoins, and crypto market analysis for investors. Before crypto, he was a tech writer (back when explaining “the cloud” was peak innovation). Since 2018, he’s written for CoinTelegraph, Yahoo Finance, The Block, Cryptonews, Zypto, Rain, and more—basically anywhere people want crypto news without the headache. Sam runs MacLabs Marketing, a content agency for crypto brands tired of sounding like AI wrote their website. He also publishes free crypto education on his site for Web3 enthusiasts who think “gas fees” is a typo. When he’s not writing or staring at charts, Sam’s either: – Watching anime (currently convinced One Piece has better tokenomics than most altcoins) – At the gym sculpting himself into a Greek god – Listening to the music your mum warned you only bad boys listen to Connect: LinkedIn | Email | MacLabs Marketing
Source: 247wallst.com

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