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Liquidity is showing early signs of recovery, but Bitcoin needs stronger stablecoin inflows before the rebound becomes truly convincing.
ByChayanika Deka
Bitcoin’s recent recovery has strengthened considerably, but Darkfost’s latest findings suggest that liquidity is still lagging behind the price recovery.
The <a href="https://xpertsstudio.com/best-vpns-for-crypto-trading-in-2026-tested-and-compared/” title=”Best VPNs for Crypto Trading in 2026: Tested and Compared”>cryptocurrency has climbed roughly 40% from July’s low of $58,500 to briefly near $82,000 in a span of two months, yet spot demand remains relatively weak.
Troubling Weakness
According to Darkfost’s latest findings, the 90-day Cumulative Volume Delta is still sitting in neutral territory. Futures activity tells a different story, however, as buyers have clearly taken the upper hand.
The lack of stronger incoming liquidity can also be seen in stablecoin reserves on exchanges, particularly Binance. At the peak of the current cycle, Binance’s stablecoin reserves reached a new platform record of more than $50 billion. But that trend reversed sharply from October onward, as reserves fell by nearly $7 billion.
During the height of the correction, investor demand contracted so severely that the 90-day change in stablecoin market capitalization held in Binance’s reserves fell to -17%. Conditions have improved since then, although the recovery remains limited. The 90-day change has climbed back to -1.6%, while Binance’s stablecoin reserves have increased by $1.6 billion over the past month.
Darkfost believes this is a positive short-term development, but not yet strong enough to signal a meaningful return of liquidity. At the same time, Bitcoin’s momentum has turned clearly positive, as seen with its daily RSI reaching 67. The 7-day and 21-day EMAs have turned upward as well and crossed back above the 200-day moving average for the first time since November 2025.
The analyst added that a clean move above $80,000 could be the level needed for liquidity to return more decisively.
Source: cryptopotato.com