Chief Economist Fu Peng of New Fire Group published an article pointing out that although Nvidia’s latest financial report has exceeded expectations for 15 consecutive quarters, the market has reacted lukewarmly to the financial data itself. Indicators such as stock price and options volatility show that market investors are currently more concerned about whether the free cash flow of the future index center can be smoothly delivered, and how long the momentum of AI growth can be maintained. These issues weigh more heavily than the performance of a single quarter’s financial report, so even if this performance exceeds Wall Street’s expectations by a few points, it does not change the denominator of the valuation.

Fu Peng believes that Jensen Huang’s statement during the conference call clearly indicated that “the inflection point for AI has arrived,” which is essentially to reassure the market, aiming to strengthen market confidence in the formation of a closed-loop AI industry chain and alleviate concerns about over-investment. Investors should observe how long it takes for the market to digest this round of confidence boost, and how long the elevated expectations brought by Jensen Huang will last before fading. If the sentiment fades quickly, it indicates that the current typical market mentality is “no rabbit, no hawk,” and the impact of manufacturers repeatedly reinforcing confidence in the market is gradually weakening, which can be observed from the duration of market fluctuations after each conference call.